
The pair kept the composure after the
BoE once again
left its monetary policy unchanged at today’s meeting, with the refi
rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase facility at £375 billion, broadly in
line with market expectations.The British pound keeps range below 1.54 handle versus the US dollar in the mid-European trades, with
GBP/USD
striving for 1.5400. The cable consolidates to the upside despite broad
based US dollar strength, in an attempt to recuperate from the sell-off
seen earlier this week, while markets now await fresh cues from the
upcoming Bank of England’s (BOE) rate decision.Markets now focus on the Bank of England’s (BOE) rate and QE
announcement later today. It is very likely the central bank will leave
its monetary policy stance unchanged in July – the base rate will stay
at the record low of 0.5% and the QE volume at £375 billion. Data on UK industrial and manufacturing output, often secondary to
that on the services sector in an economy which relies heavily on
financial and other services for growth, were mixed, giving markets
little new to play on in the debate on when the Bank of England could
raise interest rates.
Another signal on the UK economy, and whether Britain’s central bank
might move this year or early next year, may come from the latest update
from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, an
independent think-tank, on its forecasts for gross domestic product due
later on Tuesday.
Currency investors are awaiting a budget statement from the British
finance minister George Osborne on Wednesday, who is widely expected to
cut welfare spending by 12 billion pounds. Traders said any tightening
could push back expectations of British interest rate hikes and weigh on
the pound.
fundamental long term is bearish
so the recomendation for gbp/usd is bearish.we will waiting for technical sell and ignore buying signal for gbp/usd
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